Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.9 | β (26.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | β |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +30 (129-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 29 | 12-20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 18 | - |
| LeBron James * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 24 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 17 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Drew Timme | 12 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bronny James | 8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Tyson * | 29 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 28 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 24 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 17 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 28 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter | 21 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 16 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter