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2026-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% - ✓
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 ✓ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% - ✓
Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +17 (139-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Rollins * 38 9-17 2-4 4-5 8 4 0 2 0 24 21 -
Myles Turner * 35 10-16 4-8 7-8 4 3 1 2 2 31 23 -
Bobby Portis * 35 8-16 0-3 1-3 12 8 1 0 2 17 20 -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 6-12 2-4 3-4 8 8 2 0 2 17 21 -
AJ Green * 29 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
Gary Trent Jr. 20 4-9 4-9 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 13 4 -
Cole Anthony 14 3-8 1-2 3-4 1 1 0 0 2 10 2 -
Gary Harris 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
Jericho Sims 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Amir Coffey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Pete Nance 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Andre Jackson Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 36 9-19 2-8 2-2 3 9 0 0 1 22 14 -
Paul George * 32 11-21 9-15 1-2 5 5 2 0 1 32 22 -
VJ Edgecombe * 31 4-7 3-3 1-2 8 7 1 2 1 12 22 -
Joel Embiid * 29 11-24 1-4 6-6 9 5 1 0 2 29 18 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 22 3-6 0-2 1-2 4 0 1 1 0 7 7 -
Jared McCain 24 6-8 5-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 17 13 -
Justin Edwards 24 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
Adem Bona 17 3-6 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 2 0 6 10 -
Dominick Barlow 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
Trendon Watford 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 5 -
Jabari Walker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Johni Broome 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter