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2026-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% - ✓
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.5 ✓ (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% - ✓
Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.2% 55.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% - ✓

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +25 (108-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pat Spencer * 33 4-11 2-4 0-0 5 6 1 0 4 10 7 -
Quinten Post * 27 5-12 3-7 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 13 7 -
Brandin Podziemski * 27 4-13 0-2 4-5 7 4 0 0 3 12 7 -
Moses Moody * 26 4-12 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 10 3 -
Gui Santos * 26 5-13 1-6 0-0 10 2 1 1 4 11 8 -
Will Richard 28 2-9 0-6 0-0 2 3 6 0 1 4 5 -
Buddy Hield 28 2-10 1-4 0-2 2 3 1 1 1 5 1 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 20 3-7 0-0 2-4 4 1 2 0 2 8 6 -
Gary Payton II 11 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 0 -
Malevy Leons 9 2-4 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 6 9 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 34 5-8 0-0 5-7 17 2 1 2 3 15 26 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 5-10 5-9 0-0 4 8 1 3 4 15 17 -
Jaden McDaniels * 30 4-9 2-4 4-4 3 3 0 3 3 14 11 -
Julius Randle * 22 7-15 1-6 3-3 7 2 1 0 6 18 7 -
Mike Conley * 20 0-4 0-4 2-2 2 2 0 1 0 2 3 -
Naz Reid 25 6-12 3-7 0-0 7 3 3 1 3 15 14 -
Bones Hyland 24 6-9 3-4 2-4 7 5 2 0 1 17 21 -
Jaylen Clark 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 4 8 -
Joan Beringer 9 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Johnny Juzang 5 0-1 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Joe Ingles 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Rob Dillingham 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter