Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | β (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | β |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +16 (132-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 8-21 | 2-9 | 8-9 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 24 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Micah Potter | 19 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 18 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jay Huff | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kam Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 34 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 34 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 34 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Corey Kispert * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 27 | 9-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 23 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 16 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter