Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.7 | β (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | β |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -9 (95-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 37 | 7-22 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Yves Missi | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 16 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 6-16 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Devin Vassell | 25 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 7 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter