Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +24 (123-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 31 | 6-19 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Max Christie * | 23 | 1-12 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 22 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 22 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 27 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 25 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 16 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins * | 35 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Jericho Sims * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 23 | 9-17 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 22 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| AJ Green | 27 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 21 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Pete Nance | 15 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Antetokounmpo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter