Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | β (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (110-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 39 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 14-15 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 34 | - |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 23 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 27 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Drew Timme | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Max Christie * | 34 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 34 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Caleb Martin * | 23 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Washington | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 23 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Gafford | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter