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2026-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.5 (31.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Log Adjusted 44.2% 55.8% -
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -26 (85-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moses Moody * 27 7-15 5-9 0-0 8 2 0 2 1 19 15 -
Stephen Curry * 27 7-18 3-10 9-9 2 7 4 0 2 26 19 -
Draymond Green * 23 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 5 2 0 1 2 8 -
Brandin Podziemski * 22 6-10 0-2 0-0 5 6 4 0 2 12 15 -
Al Horford * 22 4-7 2-5 0-0 5 2 1 1 0 10 12 -
Will Richard 23 4-9 2-5 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 10 6 -
De'Anthony Melton 20 4-13 1-5 3-3 3 4 1 0 3 12 4 -
Gui Santos 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 7 11 -
Buddy Hield 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 1 -
Quinten Post 15 1-5 1-4 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
Gary Payton II 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Pat Spencer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 1 0 1 4 -
LJ Cryer 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 34 3-11 0-4 5-6 5 6 3 1 1 11 14 -
Anthony Edwards * 34 13-20 4-7 2-3 11 2 0 1 8 32 18 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 32 7-19 6-15 2-2 7 0 1 0 5 22 6 -
Jaden McDaniels * 27 1-8 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 3 -4 -
Rudy Gobert * 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Naz Reid 25 0-4 0-2 0-2 10 1 0 1 2 0 6 -
Mike Conley 15 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 2 6 -
Bones Hyland 15 2-5 0-3 1-3 1 3 0 0 0 5 4 -
Jaylen Clark 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Leonard Miller 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Rob Dillingham 5 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Joe Ingles 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Joan Beringer 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -

* = starter