Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 11-19 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 34 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 25 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Clint Capela | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 25 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 25 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 19 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Javonte Green | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 13 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter