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2026-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.6% 41.4% - βœ—
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 βœ“ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 41.8% 58.2% - βœ“

Actual: LA Clippers +8 (112-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 39 11-27 3-13 7-10 11 8 3 0 1 32 26 -
LeBron James * 35 9-19 1-4 4-5 5 6 2 0 4 23 13 -
Marcus Smart * 29 4-10 1-5 1-1 0 4 2 0 1 10 5 -
Jake LaRavia * 22 2-5 2-2 1-2 5 1 3 4 1 7 14 -
Deandre Ayton * 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
Rui Hachimura 28 5-11 2-7 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 12 6 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 21 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 2 4 1 0 7 10 -
Jaxson Hayes 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
Gabe Vincent 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Drew Timme 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 37 6-21 2-6 4-4 7 10 2 0 7 18 9 -
John Collins * 33 5-7 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 13 11 -
Ivica Zubac * 32 7-13 0-0 4-4 19 0 1 0 1 18 24 -
Kris Dunn * 29 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 4 6 -
Kawhi Leonard * 25 9-19 3-7 3-3 5 4 1 0 2 24 13 -
Jordan Miller 24 3-5 1-2 7-8 3 1 1 0 3 14 11 -
Kobe Sanders 24 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 11 9 -
Nicolas Batum 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
Brook Lopez 15 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 10 7 -

* = starter