Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.8% | 6.2% | -14.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -17 (109-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 10-13 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 33 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 32 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 32 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 31 | 9-19 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 34 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Ace Bailey * | 32 | 11-16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Cody Williams * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 18 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 20 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Collier | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Love | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter