Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (123-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 14-27 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 14 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Al Horford | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton | 23 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 14 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Will Richard | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Quinten Post | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie * | 35 | 7-16 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 33 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 30 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 30 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Caleb Martin * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 26 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 22 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Washington | 22 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Miles Kelly | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter