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2026-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 63.7% 36.3% -3.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -
Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% -
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +6 (128-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 44 13-21 5-8 5-6 7 3 0 1 8 36 18 -
Amen Thompson * 41 7-11 0-0 3-5 6 9 3 0 1 17 23 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 38 5-15 1-10 2-2 4 5 0 0 1 13 6 -
Alperen Sengun * 37 5-14 1-2 2-7 8 7 3 2 2 13 17 -
Josh Okogie * 22 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 8 9 -
Tari Eason 28 5-12 3-7 0-1 9 2 4 0 1 13 15 -
Reed Sheppard 22 5-14 4-7 0-1 1 4 2 0 2 14 5 -
Clint Capela 15 1-4 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
Dorian Finney-Smith 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Embiid * 45 10-19 1-3 11-12 15 10 1 1 5 32 35 -
Tyrese Maxey * 42 15-28 2-10 4-4 2 10 3 0 3 36 20 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 41 10-14 4-5 2-3 4 3 0 1 1 26 19 -
VJ Edgecombe * 39 4-9 1-6 0-0 7 4 3 0 2 9 12 -
Paul George * 36 4-9 2-5 0-0 6 4 3 1 1 10 14 -
Dominick Barlow 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 7 11 -
Quentin Grimes 19 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
Trendon Watford 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 4 8 -
Adem Bona 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 1 4 -

* = starter