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2026-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% - βœ“
Margin 46.4% 53.6% +0.8 βœ“ (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 55.1% 44.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 47.9% 52.1% - βœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +17 (110-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 35 10-21 0-2 2-4 9 3 1 0 2 22 12 -
Brandon Ingram * 34 7-19 2-7 3-3 6 7 3 1 3 19 14 -
Immanuel Quickley * 28 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 7 1 0 1 9 10 -
Ochai Agbaji * 24 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Collin Murray-Boyles * 24 5-7 0-0 1-1 7 5 0 3 0 11 19 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 24 8-12 2-5 2-5 6 2 1 1 0 20 18 -
Jamal Shead 22 1-8 1-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 3 -2 -
Jonathan Mogbo 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Gradey Dick 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jamison Battle 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A.J. Lawson 6 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Alijah Martin 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Garrett Temple 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 33 8-23 5-12 4-5 2 7 1 1 4 25 9 -
Deandre Ayton * 32 10-10 0-0 5-6 13 1 0 1 0 25 30 -
LeBron James * 31 9-17 2-4 4-4 4 7 0 2 3 24 17 -
Marcus Smart * 25 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 5 8 6 -
Jake LaRavia * 19 1-5 0-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
Rui Hachimura 21 4-10 2-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 10 -1 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 2 0 2 15 -
Drew Timme 16 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
Gabe Vincent 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
Jaxson Hayes 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 3 5 -
Kobe Bufkin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dalton Knecht 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Bronny James 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Smith Jr. 2 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

* = starter