Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.5 | β (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | β |
Actual: Houston Rockets +9 (119-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 35 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 30 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 26 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Yves Missi | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 41 | 11-21 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 19 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 40 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 7-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 17 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JD Davison | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter