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2026-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% -
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +16 (132-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 32 6-16 1-3 7-7 9 8 1 2 4 20 20 -
Jake LaRavia * 28 0-2 0-1 2-2 5 4 1 0 0 2 10 -
Marcus Smart * 24 9-17 4-6 3-5 2 0 1 0 2 25 9 -
Gabe Vincent * 22 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -5 -
Maxi Kleber * 20 4-8 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 11 10 -
Drew Timme 29 9-12 3-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 21 15 -
Kobe Bufkin 22 3-8 1-5 2-2 1 1 0 2 0 9 5 -
Rui Hachimura 19 4-7 1-3 2-2 1 1 2 1 0 11 9 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 6 5 -
Nick Smith Jr. 9 2-3 0-1 1-1 0 3 0 0 2 5 3 -
Bronny James 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Dalton Knecht 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaedon Sharpe * 29 9-18 4-8 3-4 3 4 2 0 2 25 14 -
Sidy Cissoko * 28 5-7 1-3 3-5 5 0 0 2 1 14 13 -
Donovan Clingan * 27 7-14 1-7 3-5 11 4 0 0 1 18 18 -
Toumani Camara * 26 3-5 2-4 1-2 2 1 1 1 0 9 9 -
Jrue Holiday * 19 4-8 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 9 6 -
Caleb Love 31 8-15 4-8 2-2 1 7 2 0 4 22 13 -
Jerami Grant 21 6-12 3-4 7-9 3 2 0 0 1 22 14 -
Rayan Rupert 20 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 4 0 2 0 2 -
Robert Williams III 17 2-2 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 1 1 8 12 -
Duop Reath 12 1-1 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 1 0 5 10 -
Yang Hansen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Javonte Cooke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter