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2026-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% - ✓
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 ✓ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - ✓
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +3 (126-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 40 19-33 9-16 8-10 4 3 0 0 2 55 27 -
Jaden McDaniels * 40 7-14 1-2 8-9 5 5 1 1 1 23 20 -
Julius Randle * 40 4-13 0-2 9-9 10 1 3 2 2 17 18 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 36 4-14 3-10 0-0 5 3 2 1 3 11 5 -
Naz Reid * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Joan Beringer 23 5-6 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 2 1 10 16 -
Mike Conley 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
Bones Hyland 12 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
Jaylen Clark 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 0 5 -
Leonard Miller 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Johnny Juzang 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 36 10-17 2-5 3-4 3 12 0 1 2 25 22 -
Julian Champagnie * 31 3-7 1-5 0-2 5 2 1 0 3 7 5 -
Victor Wembanyama * 30 12-23 4-9 11-14 9 3 0 2 2 39 28 -
Harrison Barnes * 28 3-7 2-6 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
Stephon Castle * 27 2-8 2-4 2-6 6 9 3 0 2 8 16 -
Keldon Johnson 31 8-14 3-5 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 20 9 -
Dylan Harper 21 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 9 6 -
Luke Kornet 19 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 2 0 8 11 -
Carter Bryant 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Lindy Waters III 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter