Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (26.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +43 (121-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ben Sheppard * | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Micah Potter | 33 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Kam Jones | 28 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 28 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 22 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Cade Cunningham * | 21 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 20 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Javonte Green | 19 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 12 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Paul Reed | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter