Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.9% | 34.1% | -3.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -26 (106-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Scheierman * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 30 | 10-21 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 29 | 14-30 | 2-9 | 11-12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 20 | - |
| Derrick White * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 23 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Hugo González | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Anfernee Simons | 23 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Luka Garza | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Amari Williams | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 35 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 32 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 29 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 26 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Vít Krejčí * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 22 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Asa Newell | 9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter