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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 14.2% 85.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% - βœ“
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 βœ“ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% - βœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings +13 (128-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bub Carrington * 38 3-4 3-4 2-2 2 9 2 0 3 11 17 -
Tre Johnson * 29 7-17 4-8 0-0 2 4 1 1 1 18 8 -
Alex Sarr * 27 8-12 0-0 3-4 4 3 0 1 2 19 13 -
Justin Champagnie * 26 7-11 1-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 15 13 -
Kyshawn George * 23 6-12 0-4 3-3 8 3 1 0 0 15 15 -
Jamir Watkins 26 2-5 0-2 2-4 2 0 2 0 2 6 3 -
Will Riley 21 2-8 2-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Marvin Bagley III 19 1-5 0-1 6-8 4 0 1 0 0 8 8 -
Malaki Branham 13 6-9 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 13 6 -
AJ Johnson 11 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
Anthony Gill 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 32 6-13 1-2 4-5 2 4 1 0 2 17 9 -
Zach LaVine * 32 6-12 3-6 1-2 2 3 1 2 0 16 12 -
Russell Westbrook * 31 9-14 6-9 2-2 2 6 1 0 4 26 17 -
Precious Achiuwa * 27 7-8 1-2 1-2 6 1 0 2 1 16 16 -
Maxime Raynaud * 21 2-5 0-0 0-2 8 5 1 0 1 4 12 -
Domantas Sabonis 21 5-6 0-1 3-5 6 5 1 1 4 13 16 -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 20 4-6 2-3 5-8 1 5 0 0 1 15 14 -
Dylan Cardwell 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 8 12 -
Nique Clifford 18 3-6 2-4 1-2 7 3 0 0 1 9 12 -
Malik Monk 15 1-6 0-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 4 0 -

* = starter