Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +5 (110-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 40 | 14-25 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 16 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-10 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Naz Reid | 32 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joan Beringer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 11-18 | 6-8 | 11-14 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 30 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 11-22 | 0-1 | 3-9 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 18 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Clint Capela | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| JD Davison | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter