Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | β (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | β |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +8 (127-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 37 | 7-21 | 5-14 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 31 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Yves Missi | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 11-22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 29 | 13-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 11 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
* = starter