Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +18 (119-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 23 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 22 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| AJ Green * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 21 | 6-17 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Gary Harris | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 20 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 10 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Pete Nance | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 23 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 21 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 25 | 6-13 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 20 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter