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2026-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - ✓
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 ✓ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - ✓
Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 34.4% 65.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Gillespie * 36 6-10 4-6 2-3 2 6 2 0 3 18 15 -
Grayson Allen * 30 11-25 7-20 4-4 5 0 0 3 2 33 14 -
Royce O'Neale * 29 4-11 3-8 0-2 7 7 0 0 2 11 12 -
Dillon Brooks * 28 4-16 2-6 6-7 1 1 0 0 2 16 0 -
Mark Williams * 22 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 4 1 5 13 -
Jordan Goodwin 31 3-8 0-2 1-2 12 3 3 1 1 7 17 -
Oso Ighodaro 25 4-8 0-0 2-5 3 0 6 1 0 10 12 -
Ryan Dunn 19 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Isaiah Livers 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 0 3 -
Rasheer Fleming 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 38 3-16 0-7 4-9 4 11 0 1 5 10 5 -
Tobias Harris * 28 6-11 0-2 4-4 7 2 5 0 0 16 19 -
Jalen Duren * 28 8-13 0-0 0-1 18 2 0 2 1 16 24 -
Duncan Robinson * 27 7-12 4-7 1-3 1 0 0 1 0 19 9 -
Ausar Thompson * 19 2-6 0-1 1-2 6 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
Isaiah Stewart 22 0-2 0-2 4-4 4 0 0 2 2 4 6 -
Ronald Holland II 21 3-6 0-2 5-9 9 1 1 0 5 11 11 -
Jaden Ivey 16 6-8 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 15 8 -
Javonte Green 16 1-5 1-5 2-3 0 0 1 0 0 5 1 -
Caris LeVert 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 2 7 -
Daniss Jenkins 6 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 3 1 1 0 5 9 -

* = starter