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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% -
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% -
Log Adjusted 55.9% 44.1% -
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -26 (107-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 33 11-22 5-12 8-8 7 9 1 0 1 35 29 -
Evan Mobley * 33 7-10 1-1 2-4 13 6 1 4 2 17 29 -
Jaylon Tyson * 25 4-9 3-4 1-2 5 3 1 0 2 12 10 -
Jarrett Allen * 25 5-6 0-0 0-1 5 2 0 0 2 10 9 -
Darius Garland * 23 8-13 3-7 1-2 3 7 1 0 4 20 14 -
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 0 6 -
De'Andre Hunter 21 7-13 3-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 17 11 -
Craig Porter Jr. 17 0-3 0-1 1-1 3 3 1 0 1 1 4 -
Lonzo Ball 14 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 9 10 -
Sam Merrill 9 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Larry Nance Jr. 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Thomas Bryant 4 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Tyrese Proctor 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 31 5-16 2-8 2-2 2 4 0 2 0 14 6 -
Paul George * 29 7-14 2-4 1-2 4 4 1 0 0 17 12 -
VJ Edgecombe * 26 3-10 1-6 2-2 3 2 2 1 2 9 5 -
Joel Embiid * 24 7-14 2-5 4-4 4 3 1 1 6 20 9 -
Dominick Barlow * 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 26 2-6 2-5 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
Quentin Grimes 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
Trendon Watford 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 3 6 -
Jabari Walker 14 1-5 0-4 0-0 4 3 2 1 0 2 7 -
Andre Drummond 12 1-4 0-2 5-6 9 0 0 0 1 7 11 -
Adem Bona 11 1-1 0-0 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
Jared McCain 9 1-2 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Justin Edwards 6 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 3 -

* = starter