Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.6% | 17.4% | -8.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -14 (101-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 12-23 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jamison Battle * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 30 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alijah Martin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 10-23 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 30 | 1-12 | 0-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 18 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 18 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Micah Potter | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kam Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter