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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 65.0% 35.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% - ✗
Margin 41.9% 58.1% +1.8 ✓ (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - ✓
Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 32.6% 67.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +22 (119-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Love * 33 5-16 2-9 5-8 3 7 2 1 4 17 10 -
Toumani Camara * 28 2-8 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 6 3 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 28 9-15 1-5 0-2 2 2 1 0 1 19 8 -
Sidy Cissoko * 26 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -
Donovan Clingan * 22 2-3 1-2 2-2 9 1 0 0 3 7 11 -
Rayan Rupert 26 5-9 1-3 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 13 8 -
Jrue Holiday 20 4-12 2-8 2-3 8 3 0 0 3 12 8 -
Robert Williams III 15 5-5 1-1 0-0 8 0 1 1 3 11 13 -
Javonte Cooke 13 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 3 3 -
Yang Hansen 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Duop Reath 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 26 5-7 1-2 5-5 6 5 0 0 0 16 20 -
Stephen Curry * 24 2-9 2-8 1-1 4 11 1 0 1 7 13 -
Draymond Green * 22 4-9 2-6 0-0 7 0 2 2 6 10 6 -
Moses Moody * 22 5-9 4-8 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 14 11 -
Quinten Post * 14 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Gui Santos 21 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 6 4 0 0 6 16 -
Brandin Podziemski 21 6-10 3-5 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 15 11 -
Al Horford 20 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 4 1 1 1 6 7 -
Will Richard 18 2-5 2-5 2-2 0 0 2 1 1 8 5 -
De'Anthony Melton 18 9-14 4-6 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 23 12 -
Gary Payton II 12 3-5 0-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Pat Spencer 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Buddy Hield 5 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter