Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +2.0 | ✓ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +25 (141-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 33 | 10-16 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 30 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Vít Krejčí * | 21 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 27 | 11-23 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 5 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 25 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Asa Newell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake LaRavia * | 35 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Luka Dončić * | 33 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 8-10 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 22 | - |
| LeBron James * | 32 | 12-20 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 29 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 14 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Bronny James | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Drew Timme | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter