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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 87.7% 12.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% - ✓
Margin 80.0% 20.0% -7.6 ✓ (25.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.8% 38.2% - ✓
Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -33 (106-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donte DiVincenzo * 30 4-6 3-5 0-0 4 7 0 0 2 11 14 -
Jaden McDaniels * 29 6-9 4-6 1-2 6 5 0 2 1 17 20 -
Julius Randle * 29 12-18 4-7 1-2 8 6 1 0 2 29 24 -
Naz Reid * 28 8-12 2-6 1-3 3 2 1 0 2 19 11 -
Mike Conley * 20 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 9 9 -
Joan Beringer 29 6-7 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 0 1 13 13 -
Bones Hyland 21 9-16 5-7 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 23 15 -
Jaylen Clark 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 4 8 -
Johnny Juzang 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Leonard Miller 8 2-3 0-1 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
Rob Dillingham 8 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
Joe Ingles 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 0 2 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 9-13 0-1 7-14 8 5 1 0 7 25 19 -
Ryan Rollins * 30 5-14 1-5 0-0 7 3 0 1 2 11 6 -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 29 5-11 2-4 1-2 4 8 3 1 4 13 14 -
Bobby Portis * 27 6-12 2-4 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 14 12 -
AJ Green * 26 3-9 3-9 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 9 2 -
Kyle Kuzma 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 2 4 -
Gary Trent Jr. 13 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Gary Harris 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
Andre Jackson Jr. 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Pete Nance 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
Amir Coffey 9 3-5 1-2 3-3 1 0 2 1 1 10 8 -
Cole Anthony 9 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 4 4 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 1 -
Jericho Sims 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter