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2026-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 82.8% 17.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 77.3% 22.7% - βœ—
Margin 85.0% 15.0% -9.5 βœ— (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 66.9% 33.1% - βœ—
Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 68.5% 31.5% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% - βœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings +12 (124-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 36 16-25 2-9 8-8 7 8 4 0 4 42 32 -
LeBron James * 33 8-17 0-5 6-6 4 3 1 0 3 22 10 -
Jake LaRavia * 31 1-7 0-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 2 1 -
Marcus Smart * 30 0-5 0-3 1-2 2 2 2 0 0 1 2 -
Deandre Ayton * 27 4-7 0-0 5-8 13 1 0 2 2 13 20 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 25 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jaxson Hayes 18 5-6 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 0 12 12 -
Gabe Vincent 18 3-6 3-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
Dalton Knecht 12 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
Maxi Kleber 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nick Smith Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bronny James 1 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 14-19 0-0 4-5 2 6 3 0 0 32 24 -
Russell Westbrook * 34 8-16 4-8 2-4 5 7 1 0 5 22 14 -
Zach LaVine * 31 6-11 3-4 4-4 4 1 0 1 1 19 13 -
Maxime Raynaud * 31 5-8 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
Precious Achiuwa * 30 4-7 1-1 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 9 10 -
Malik Monk 31 9-15 7-9 1-1 1 8 1 0 2 26 19 -
Dylan Cardwell 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 2 6 -
Nique Clifford 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Keon Ellis 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter