Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.3% | 9.7% | -12.3 | ✗ (25.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +13 (111-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 41 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 2-6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Holiday * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Steven Adams | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious Achiuwa * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Malik Monk | 26 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 21 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Drew Eubanks | 8 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter