Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | β (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | β |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -13 (111-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 33 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 33 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 32 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 24 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 19 | 8-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Asa Newell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 33 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 11-21 | 3-11 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 17 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton | 23 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Al Horford | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Gui Santos | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Will Richard | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter