Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +1 (104-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 4 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 6-19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 26 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 10-10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 38 | 7-16 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 10-21 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 7-12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - |
| Naz Reid | 31 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 11 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Mike Conley | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter