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2026-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 โœ“ (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +18 (125-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Nembhard * 29 5-11 3-6 3-4 3 6 0 0 2 16 12 -
Cooper Flagg * 28 4-13 0-1 3-3 1 2 1 1 5 11 -2 -
Max Christie * 27 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 10 6 -
Daniel Gafford * 24 2-6 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
Naji Marshall * 24 4-11 1-4 5-8 4 3 3 0 0 14 13 -
Caleb Martin 19 3-6 0-1 2-5 4 4 1 0 1 8 10 -
Klay Thompson 19 4-10 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 10 4 -
Moussa Cisse 19 2-3 0-0 1-2 10 0 2 3 1 5 16 -
D'Angelo Russell 18 4-10 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 8 2 -
Miles Kelly 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
Jaden Hardy 12 5-8 4-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 14 5 -
Dwight Powell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaac Okoro * 28 5-9 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 13 10 -
Coby White * 28 9-15 2-7 2-2 4 3 1 0 3 22 12 -
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 28 6-11 1-5 2-2 12 3 1 2 2 15 20 -
Tre Jones * 27 6-8 1-3 0-0 3 5 0 0 0 13 13 -
Matas Buzelis * 25 7-16 1-7 0-0 6 2 0 2 1 15 8 -
Ayo Dosunmu 25 7-9 3-4 3-3 4 8 4 0 3 20 24 -
Kevin Huerter 23 5-10 2-6 1-1 3 6 3 0 1 13 14 -
Patrick Williams 20 1-5 1-2 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
Jalen Smith 16 3-11 0-5 1-2 9 0 0 2 1 7 6 -
Julian Phillips 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jevon Carter 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Dalen Terry 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Lachlan Olbrich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter