Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -5 (95-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 9-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 26 | 3-16 | 1-7 | 2-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 28 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama | 26 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 43 | 11-28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 9 | - |
| Derrick White * | 42 | 11-26 | 5-17 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Payton Pritchard * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Hugo González * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 26 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Luka Garza | 25 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Anfernee Simons | 25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter