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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 10.0% 90.0% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% - βœ—
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 βœ— (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% - βœ—
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% - βœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -4 (101-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 39 7-14 1-3 7-10 5 6 4 1 3 22 21 -
AJ Green * 35 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 11 9 -
Ryan Rollins * 30 2-13 1-7 5-6 6 2 0 0 2 10 3 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 9-11 0-0 3-4 6 5 2 2 4 21 21 -
Myles Turner * 22 3-6 2-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 8 5 -
Bobby Portis 30 5-12 1-5 0-0 12 3 0 0 2 11 12 -
Kyle Kuzma 22 5-10 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 13 8 -
Gary Trent Jr. 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
Gary Harris 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 6 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 36 8-25 4-6 4-8 9 9 2 0 3 24 16 -
Jake LaRavia * 34 5-8 3-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 13 9 -
LeBron James * 32 10-21 2-7 4-6 9 10 3 0 3 26 24 -
Marcus Smart * 30 3-9 3-8 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 9 5 -
Deandre Ayton * 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 26 4-7 1-3 0-0 9 2 0 0 0 9 13 -
Jaxson Hayes 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
Gabe Vincent 15 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
Dalton Knecht 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Maxi Kleber 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter