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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - βœ“
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 βœ“ (23.0 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 15.8% 84.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 21.9% 78.1% - βœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +34 (137-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 34 10-19 1-2 3-5 2 3 3 0 0 24 13 -
Zach LaVine * 30 7-15 1-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 15 4 -
Russell Westbrook * 28 6-11 1-4 0-0 4 7 0 0 3 13 10 -
Maxime Raynaud * 26 4-6 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 2 2 8 11 -
Keon Ellis * 25 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 1 0 5 6 -
Nique Clifford 24 2-6 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 6 0 -
Dylan Cardwell 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 0 6 11 -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 20 5-9 1-3 4-4 3 3 1 0 1 15 12 -
Malik Monk 19 4-10 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 -1 -
Precious Achiuwa 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 2 0 1 4 -
Devin Carter 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 31 10-21 6-12 1-1 0 10 1 2 2 27 17 -
Draymond Green * 27 4-7 3-4 0-0 6 8 1 0 3 11 16 -
Jimmy Butler III * 22 6-10 0-1 3-3 6 6 0 0 2 15 15 -
Moses Moody * 21 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 7 3 -
Quinten Post * 13 4-9 3-8 0-0 2 2 0 3 0 11 9 -
Brandin Podziemski 22 4-6 0-2 6-6 4 2 1 0 1 14 14 -
Gui Santos 18 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
De'Anthony Melton 18 6-10 3-6 4-4 0 1 0 0 1 19 9 -
Gary Payton II 17 6-7 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 12 15 -
Will Richard 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Al Horford 16 4-6 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 9 11 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Pat Spencer 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Buddy Hield 4 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter