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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 81.2% 18.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% - βœ—
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 βœ“ (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 51.6% 48.4% - βœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards -21 (107-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 36 13-24 7-16 2-3 8 4 4 0 1 35 26 -
Derik Queen * 34 7-13 0-2 0-0 16 12 0 2 5 14 26 -
Jeremiah Fears * 31 9-15 2-4 1-1 5 6 3 0 6 21 14 -
Zion Williamson * 29 12-14 0-0 7-13 4 3 2 0 1 31 25 -
Bryce McGowens * 28 2-6 1-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Micah Peavy 27 4-9 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 9 3 -
Jordan Hawkins 20 2-5 0-1 3-3 4 0 2 0 1 7 7 -
Yves Missi 12 1-5 0-0 1-2 9 2 0 1 0 3 10 -
Jordan Poole 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -
Karlo Matković 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Trey Alexander 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 29 2-6 1-2 3-6 5 4 1 1 2 8 11 -
Alex Sarr * 25 5-11 0-2 4-8 1 3 0 1 3 14 5 -
Tre Johnson * 25 3-7 2-5 4-4 1 2 3 0 2 12 9 -
Kyshawn George * 23 6-13 3-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 15 7 -
Khris Middleton * 20 2-5 0-2 0-1 2 1 1 0 3 4 0 -
Bub Carrington 28 4-10 3-8 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 11 9 -
Malaki Branham 23 2-3 2-3 4-4 2 1 2 1 1 10 12 -
Tristan Vukcevic 22 4-14 0-4 7-10 4 2 0 5 2 15 10 -
Justin Champagnie 21 6-12 0-2 0-0 9 4 0 0 0 12 13 -
AJ Johnson 15 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
Anthony Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter