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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 28.0% 72.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% - βœ“
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 βœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 28.5% 71.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +8 (125-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 34 6-16 4-10 1-2 2 13 1 1 2 17 16 -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 31 7-12 5-9 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 19 16 -
RJ Barrett * 27 6-15 3-5 4-4 4 7 0 0 1 19 14 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili * 24 7-10 0-2 1-1 8 1 0 1 0 15 15 -
Collin Murray-Boyles * 21 3-7 0-2 1-1 2 1 3 0 0 7 6 -
Jamal Shead 24 4-8 3-6 2-2 1 8 0 1 1 13 14 -
Gradey Dick 23 4-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 9 5 -
Jonathan Mogbo 19 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 6 8 -
Alijah Martin 15 3-7 1-5 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 7 4 -
Jamison Battle 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
A.J. Lawson 5 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 37 7-14 2-7 2-2 3 5 0 2 1 18 13 -
Jaylen Brown * 36 6-15 1-3 12-13 8 7 0 0 4 25 21 -
Sam Hauser * 31 7-10 5-7 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 19 16 -
Payton Pritchard * 29 12-19 3-5 0-0 5 8 0 1 1 27 21 -
Neemias Queta * 27 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 0 0 10 12 -
Anfernee Simons 26 6-11 3-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 15 11 -
Luka Garza 20 3-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 18 2-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
Jordan Walsh 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter