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@
Utah Jazz 116
2026-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 65.7% 34.3% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% -
Points Off/Def 54.5% 45.5% -

Actual: Utah Jazz +2 (116-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cooper Flagg * 37 10-18 3-6 3-4 10 8 3 1 3 26 27 -
Naji Marshall * 36 7-11 2-5 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 17 11 -
Anthony Davis * 35 10-20 0-2 1-1 11 4 1 1 2 21 16 -
Max Christie * 31 5-9 3-6 3-3 4 4 0 0 1 16 14 -
Daniel Gafford * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 0 5 -
Klay Thompson 28 7-13 6-11 3-3 3 5 0 0 3 23 15 -
Ryan Nembhard 21 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 7 2 -
Caleb Martin 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
Brandon Williams 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 39 14-26 2-8 3-6 7 4 0 2 3 33 17 -
Keyonte George * 36 8-12 1-4 2-3 3 7 3 0 0 19 20 -
Brice Sensabaugh * 30 6-12 2-6 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 14 11 -
Kevin Love * 23 3-11 1-6 3-3 10 2 0 0 0 10 11 -
Cody Williams * 22 4-5 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 0 8 12 -
Kyle Anderson 26 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 0 2 8 -
Walter Clayton Jr. 21 4-10 4-9 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 12 7 -
Isaiah Collier 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 6 0 1 4 7 6 -
Kyle Filipowski 17 3-5 1-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 8 7 -
Taylor Hendricks 4 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter