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2026-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +9 (131-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 37 8-11 3-5 0-1 4 3 0 1 3 19 13 -
Darius Garland * 36 7-16 1-4 1-4 1 8 2 0 2 16 9 -
Donovan Mitchell * 36 10-20 2-8 8-9 7 8 1 0 4 30 22 -
Jarrett Allen * 29 5-9 0-0 1-2 10 1 2 0 0 11 15 -
Craig Porter Jr. * 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 4 3 -
Sam Merrill 30 7-13 5-11 3-3 2 3 1 0 0 22 15 -
De'Andre Hunter 27 6-11 0-3 2-2 7 4 2 0 2 14 14 -
Jaylon Tyson 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 38 11-14 3-4 1-4 5 1 2 0 1 26 19 -
Anthony Edwards * 37 10-20 4-7 1-2 7 9 1 1 4 25 19 -
Rudy Gobert * 36 5-5 0-0 1-3 13 3 2 0 1 11 23 -
Julius Randle * 35 10-21 3-7 5-6 11 8 0 0 4 28 22 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 34 8-13 6-10 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 22 14 -
Naz Reid 23 3-6 2-4 1-2 6 3 1 1 4 9 10 -
Mike Conley 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
Jaylen Clark 10 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 1 -
Bones Hyland 9 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter