Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -3 (113-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 7-19 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 30 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 32 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Dru Smith | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 17 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vučević * | 37 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Matas Buzelis * | 33 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Coby White * | 31 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 8-10 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Isaac Okoro * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Smith * | 15 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Huerter | 32 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 31 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Dalen Terry | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Patrick Williams | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Julian Phillips | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter