Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +1 (103-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 14-26 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 13 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 30 | 5-18 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 21 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Clint Capela | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 39 | 13-24 | 2-9 | 13-15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 41 | 21 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 34 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Love | 28 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Yang Hansen | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter