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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.8% 71.2% -
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% -
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +7 (120-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 40 7-12 1-3 0-0 4 9 1 0 5 15 12 -
Ryan Rollins * 35 7-13 2-5 0-0 7 4 1 0 1 16 14 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 15-22 2-4 2-7 10 5 0 0 2 34 25 -
AJ Green * 29 4-8 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
Myles Turner * 24 4-8 2-4 3-3 2 3 0 1 1 13 10 -
Bobby Portis 23 2-7 2-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Gary Trent Jr. 21 2-7 0-4 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
Kyle Kuzma 20 5-7 2-2 1-1 2 2 0 1 0 13 11 -
Gary Harris 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 0 5 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 34 12-21 3-9 4-5 6 7 0 0 1 31 22 -
Jimmy Butler III * 31 6-15 1-5 8-9 5 3 1 0 2 21 13 -
Draymond Green * 29 5-12 3-8 1-2 3 7 1 0 1 14 12 -
Moses Moody * 27 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 5 -
Quinten Post * 18 5-8 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 11 7 -
De'Anthony Melton 25 8-12 5-9 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 22 13 -
Brandin Podziemski 22 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 4 1 0 0 2 8 -
Al Horford 19 3-6 2-4 0-0 10 6 0 2 2 8 18 -
Gui Santos 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
Will Richard 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter