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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 81.2% 18.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 65.9% 34.1% - ✓
Margin 73.2% 26.8% -5.5 ✓ (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% - ✓
Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 63.0% 37.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -19 (98-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 30 6-15 1-5 0-1 1 8 2 0 2 13 7 -
Collin Gillespie * 27 4-6 2-4 0-0 8 3 1 0 2 10 14 -
Mark Williams * 26 5-6 0-0 2-2 12 1 1 1 2 12 19 -
Royce O'Neale * 26 4-9 4-9 0-0 6 4 2 1 1 12 15 -
Dillon Brooks * 24 8-22 5-12 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 21 9 -
Ryan Dunn 22 0-5 0-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Jordan Goodwin 22 4-12 3-8 0-1 8 6 2 1 0 11 16 -
Grayson Allen 20 7-13 5-10 0-0 0 1 0 1 3 19 5 -
Oso Ighodaro 17 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 1 2 5 8 -
Rasheer Fleming 9 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
Isaiah Livers 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Khaman Maluach 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nick Richards 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 9-19 0-3 1-2 4 1 1 1 0 19 7 -
Cam Spencer * 27 5-11 4-6 0-0 3 5 2 0 3 14 10 -
Jaylen Wells * 27 4-12 1-6 0-1 7 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
GG Jackson * 25 3-7 2-4 3-3 5 1 3 0 5 11 8 -
Jock Landale * 21 0-5 0-4 0-0 8 4 1 0 0 0 8 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 26 4-8 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
Santi Aldama 22 3-8 0-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Javon Small 20 5-8 3-4 1-2 3 7 1 1 5 14 13 -
Christian Koloko 20 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 16 5-10 2-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 14 8 -
Jahmai Mashack 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter