Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.7 | β (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | β |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +16 (107-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake LaRavia * | 38 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 38 | 13-26 | 2-9 | 10-16 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 28 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 19 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 18 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Drew Timme | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bronny James | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris MaΓ±on | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 11-13 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama | 25 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter