Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (98-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 7-23 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Max Christie * | 35 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 31 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 27 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 26 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 37 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 25 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-7 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter