Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -8 (103-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 37 | 11-22 | 3-10 | 5-9 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| LeBron James * | 33 | 10-19 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 29 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 31 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 29 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 39 | 14-26 | 6-17 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 24 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 34 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 19 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Yves Missi | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Karlo Matković | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter