Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 91.0% | 9.0% | -12.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +1 (106-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 31 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 29 | 4-18 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama | 21 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 35 | 7-16 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Cam Spencer * | 29 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 28 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 23 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| GG Jackson * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 23 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 22 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 19 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Javon Small | 16 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter