Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.2% | 14.8% | -9.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (116-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 32 | 14-23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 31 | 6-12 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 34 | 9-23 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 33 | 5-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 30 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 30 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Micah Potter | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 17 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter